PIPEROLL / SEISMOGRAPH
Published finding

mistral-large-4-0@mistral: thinking-token use rose on the instruction following probe set

Movement on the daily battery. This model measured against its own witnessed baseline.

220 tok→487 tok
modelmistral-large-4-0@mistral
identitypinned snapshot · a dated id that promises stability; a change here means the snapshot itself changed
dimensionInstruction following
metricthinking_tokens_mean
decision ruleRelative shift past the serving-tripwire threshold
first flagged2026-11-08 · latest reading
coverage0 call errors on this reading

Pattern: thinking-token use moved while the pass rate on the same probes stayed flat (1.00 before, 1.00 at onset). That is the signature of a serving-side change - an effort default or a routing change - rather than a different model behind the name, which usually moves accuracy too. Stated as a pattern, not a cause.

Trace the evidence

The witnessed reading for this date and battery, and the Rekor witness bundle. The full series is in series.json.

This entry records an observation under the stated decision rule. Watches remain unconfirmed; latency is operational context. The instrument does not establish the cause of a change.