PIPEROLL / SEISMOGRAPH
Published finding

grok-4.7@xai: thinking-token use rose on the instruction following probe set

Movement on the daily battery. This model measured against its own witnessed baseline.

270 tok→569 tok
modelgrok-4.7@xai
identityalias · a floating name the provider may re-point; a change here means what is served under this name changed
dimensionInstruction following
metricthinking_tokens_mean
decision ruleRelative shift past the serving-tripwire threshold
first flagged2026-10-05 · latest reading
coverage0 call errors on this reading

Pattern: thinking-token use and the pass rate on the same probes moved together (0.90 before, 1.00 at onset). Accuracy shifting alongside token use is more consistent with a different model behind the name than with an effort or routing change alone. Stated as a pattern, not a cause.

Trace the evidence

The witnessed reading for this date and battery, and the Rekor witness bundle. The full series is in series.json.

This entry records an observation under the stated decision rule. Watches remain unconfirmed; latency is operational context. The instrument does not establish the cause of a change.